‘Adrián’, the first tropical cyclone of 2023, could hit the coasts of these Mexican states – Enseñame de Ciencia

A few days ago, the National Meteorological Service of the National Water Commission (Conagua) reported that an area of ​​atmospheric instability had been detected on the coasts of the Pacific Ocean, which is expected to lead to the formation of ‘Adrián’, the first tropical cyclone of the 2023 season, which, According to reports, it could be developed to the south of the Guerrero and Michoacán coasts where it will increase its potential.

At that time, it was decided to maintain a 7-day observation period that began on June 16, 2023, during which it was estimated that the low pressure area south of the coasts of Guerrero and Michoacán maintained a 30% probability of development. Hurricane, hopefully it’s really fading in the next few days.

In this regard, observations of the National Weather Service indicated that the area of ​​low pressure, which could become Adrian, was at that moment 750 kilometers south of Lazaro Cárdenas, Michoacan, moving west-northwest at a speed of 16 kilometers.

Then, in CONAGUA’s second report, more about cyclonic development was revealed, noting that the low pressure area associated with Tropical Wave #3 had been reduced to a 20% probability of developing at 48 hours and 7 days. At the time, it was located 840 kilometers south-southwest of Manzanillo, Colima and was moving west-northeast at 18 km/h, with the watch on.

Apparently, Tropical Cyclone Adrián follows this cycle, as the last report submitted by CONAGUA two hours ago confirmed that it maintains a 20% probability of hurricane development in 48 hours and 7 days. It is currently located 945 km southwest of Manzanillo, Colima and is moving west-northwest at a speed of 16 km/h, while maintaining continuous monitoring.

What is a tropical cyclone?

According to the World Meteorological Organization“Tropical cyclones are among the greatest threats to life and property, even in the early stages of their development. They carry various risks that can greatly affect life and property, individually, such as storms, floods, strong winds, hurricanes and lightning.”

In general, a tropical cyclone is a rapidly rotating storm that is generated from a low pressure channel and gets its name when it forms in the tropical oceans, extracting the energy needed to gain strength.

Tropical cyclones have spiral clouds that generate a large amount of precipitation and orbit around the “eye” of the hurricane, where weather conditions are usually calm.

Tropical cyclones generate extremely violent winds, heavy rains, high waves and, in some cases, very destructive storm surges and coastal flooding. However, these meteorological events are also very important for transporting nutrients from the oceans, cleaning up water bodies, mitigating high temperatures and droughts (currently hitting Mexican territory hard), as well as refilling aquifers and dams.

On the other hand, it must be borne in mind that a hurricane can easily turn into a hurricane, which puts coastal residents on high alert, so it is important to keep abreast of new reports from the authorities about the possible development of Hurricane Adrian.