May 4, 2024

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Circumstance that can change the outcome of an election: CERA vote

Circumstance that can change the outcome of an election: CERA vote

Sunday’s elections, July 23, do not end until next Friday, July 28, when the recount of the votes of Spaniards living abroad ends. WAX vote. In the last general election, a total of 145,000 votes.

As shown cursedin Madrid, The People’s Party is only 1,758 votes away from taking a seat from the Socialist Workers’ Party, a movement that would completely change the post-election scenario. At this time, block The left (PP, Sumar, EH Bildu, PNV and BNG) has 172 seats, while the seat consisting of PP and Vox comes to 171.

With this scenario in hand, two solutions are offered:

1. The seat does not move, and the left holds 172 deputies. In this case, the SWP will need to abstain from Juntz (seven deputies) in the second vote. If the Catalan party abstains, the Socialist Workers Party may return to power. This is called an absolute majority.

2. The seat moves to the right, which would add up to 172, more than the left wing. If this happened, Junts abstention in the second vote would not be sufficient for SWP rule. This happens because, in the second vote, more votes in favor than votes against are needed. In other words, the hypothetical 172 seats on the right would outnumber the 171 on the left, so abstaining from Junts wouldn’t be enough. This is called a simple majority.

This is how he explains it Conference organization: “A vote shall become effective at such time as the Presidency shall specify. If the candidate proposed therein receives the vote of an absolute majority of the members of Congress, it shall be understood that confidence has been given. If said majority is not obtained, a new vote shall be taken forty-eight hours after the previous vote, and A trust is considered conferred if a simple majority is obtained in it.“.

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Other counties where CERA could be critical

At this time, there are five provinces there may be a change of seats. PSOE is 3,067 votes away from snatching a deputy from the People’s Party Malagaand 5,664 and 2,802 to do the same in Huesca And pelvisrespectively.

On the other hand, only 363 votes separate PP from taking a seat from Junts in Gironaand 3509 to extract the post from PSOE’s Lida. The cards are on the table, but not the CERA count, which ends on Friday and could tip the election toward one bloc or the other.