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During this weekend, the end of October, the entry of tropical marine air and low pressure channel will be maintained Chance of scattered rain in the peninsula From Yucatan, and although cold front #6 will move into the Gulf of Mexico, it will not reach the area, due to the blockage of the anticyclone that is dominating the southeast.
According to the forecasts of the National Water Commission (Conagua) and the specialized meteorological site of Yucatan, in the last stretch of the tenth month of the year, the rains were isolated and Humid with temperatures around 35 degreesbut with 40-degree thermal sensations in Campeche, Quintana Roo and Yucatan.
however, The threat of a possible hurricane impact on the peninsula is growing Tropical moving in the Caribbean Sea and maintaining, according to Conagua, a 70% probability of hurricane development in five days, while moving northeast from the coast of Quintana Roo.
In turn, the US National Hurricane Center reported on Saturday, October 29, that it is very likely that disturbances will occur in the Caribbean. evolving into a tropical depression this weekend Or at the start of the following season, the 14th hurricane of the 2022 season that will be given the name “Lisa.”
You can read: Climate in Yucatan: A tropical depression will form in the Caribbean. You will approach the peninsula
Will the hurricane form in the Caribbean, will it affect the Yucatan Peninsula?
For Juan Antonio Palma Solís, of Meteorology Yucatán, the latest US National Hurricane Center update estimated a rise, of 70%, Possible hurricane formation in the eastern CaribbeanExperts’ predictions could come true as of the end of this week.
“In the opinion of the predictions of American experts, as soon as a hurricane forms, which It can be a tropical depression or a stormIt is possible that it will move to the north, although for the time being the high pressure or anticyclone keeps the system moving towards the west.”
But the operational meteorologist cautioned that forecasts also considered that if the high pressure subsides, the tropical turbulence will shift slightly to the north, indicating that it could affect Belize and Belize as a tropical depression or storm. Southern Yucatan Peninsula.
“Models of the atmosphere so far indicate that the system, which, if formed, would be invoked Lisa, you will pass near the peninsulawhich would generate traces of torrential rain, especially in southern Quintana Roo and Campeche, despite heavy rains in the Yucatan regions.”
When will the potential hurricane “Lisa” reach Central America and part of the peninsula?
The Coordinator of Meteored Mexico also stressed that if the forecasts of the US National Hurricane Center come true, Potential for Tropical Cyclone Lisa It will also increase wind speed, particularly in the coastal areas of Quintana Roo and Yucatan.
“As the orbital system progresses, this is likely to happen It hit southern Belize on Wednesday or so, November 2 Then, it will be like that Low or Storm Day of the Dead. If the forecast comes true, there will be Hanal Bexan in Yucatan, in Merida, with clouds and rain.”
Palma Solis explained that there is still no certainty about the final path of low pressure in the Caribbean, but if it develops as a depression or a tropical storm, everything could happen, and according to forecasts You will pass south of the Yucatan Peninsula.
“Everything will depend on the behavior of the high pressure or the anticyclone blocking the southeast of the country. If the phenomenon moves to the east, it is likely that Tropical Cyclone Lisa is approaching the peninsula“You have to be very vigilant in the following days,” said Juan Antonio.
What is the location of the tropical systems in the Caribbean and Atlantic?
Conagua continues to monitor low pressure in the eastern Caribbean, which already has a 70% hurricane probability in five days and 50% in two days. fall almost 2,300 kilometers (km) east – southeast of the coast of Quintana Roo It continued its gradual and slow progress to the west and northwest.
about Another low pressure in the Atlantic Oceanto the west and southwest of the Atlantic Ocean from Bermuda, announced that it maintains its chances of cyclonic development at 20% for five days, and is located 2,360 kilometers northeast of the coast of Quintana Roo, very far from Mexican territory.
The US National Hurricane Center forecast a potential hurricane
In their report this Saturday, October 29, meteorologists from the US National Hurricane Center reiterated the formation of a wide area of Low pressure over the eastern Caribbean Which generates a wide and unregulated area of rain and thunderstorms.
“Environmental conditions are expected to be favorable for a gradual development over the next several days, which is likely A tropical depression is forming next weekas the turbulence moves slowly westward or west-northwest over the central Caribbean.”
Regardless of evolution, they multiplied that disorder It will lead to locally heavy rains in parts of the Lesser AntillesThe Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico this weekend.
How is the weather forecast in Yucatan for the weekend in October?
In the next 24 hours, meteorologists at the Regional Hydrometeorological Center “Merida” in Conagua Yucatan forecast partly cloudy sky With the possibility of scattered rain.
“The low pressure channel over the Yucatan Peninsula will cause clouds and Scattered rain in the north, east and northeastern Yucatan; southwest of Campeche and north and south of Quintana Roo.”
morning And they indicated, on Sunday, October 30, that the rotation of the anticyclone will prevent the arrival of the cold front No. 6 in the Yucatan Peninsula, the ingress of moisture will lead to the possibility of rain in southern Campeche; Scattered rain to the northwest and north of Yucatan, as well as in the south of Quintana Roo.
and the past Tomorrow Monday 31 “Low Pressure Channel West Yucatan Peninsula You will favor the possibility of rain in southwest Campeche and northeastern Yucatan, as well as scattered rain in central and southern Quintana Roo.
What temperatures will be there in Mérida and the rest of the peninsula?
On Saturday 29 October there will be Hot to very hot environment in the day And warm at dawn. Tomorrow Sunday the 30th, the weather will be hot during the day and warm at dawn, with southeasterly easterly winds eventually shifting to the northeast at 15 to 20 km/h and 40 km/h winds in coastal areas.
Konagua Yucatan experts expect this Saturday 29th Maximum temperatures in Merida from 34 to 36 degrees And from 21 to 23 degrees Minor. For other municipalities in the interior of the state, the maximum will be from 34 to 36 degrees in the south, and the minimum from 18 to 20 degrees in the north and center.
In Yucatan, yesterday, Friday, October 28, the maximum precipitation reached 25 mm in Cantamic. The maximum temperature was 36 degrees in Oxscottscape. The temperature in Merida was 33.4 degrees. No less than 19 degrees, which was recorded at Conka ly Motul.
We recommend the following: Climate in Yucatan: The probability of a hurricane in the Caribbean is increasing. Will the peninsula be on his way?
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