Nicole Heads Subtropical Storm Florida – NBC 7 South Florida

Miami, Florida – Subtropical Storm Nicole formed Monday morning as the latest named system of the 2022 Atlantic hurricane season and could affect Florida in the coming days.

The National Hurricane Center (NHC) reported in an 11:00 a.m. bulletin Monday that the system’s maximum sustained winds were 45 mph and was moving north-northwest at 9 mph while located 495 miles east of the Bahamas.

South Florida remains in the system’s track cone, which is expected to move over the state Thursday night.

An extended period of severe weather is expected to continue over the northwest Bahamas, Florida and the southeast coast of the United States this week.

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Warnings and watches

A hurricane watch is valid for:

• Northwest Bahamas
• East Coast of Florida from the Volusia/Brevard County Line to
  Hallandale Beach
• Lake Okeechobee

The Storm Surge Watch is valid for:

• From Altamaha Sound to Hallandale Beach

Tropical Storm Watch is valid for:

• Altamaha Sound south to the Volusia Brevard County Line
• Hallandale Beach, North Coral Ocean

The NHC says interests in the central Bahamas, Florida and along the southeast coast of the United States should monitor Nicole’s progress.

November is the last month of hurricane season, and tropical activity usually begins to taper off. However, the 2022 hurricane season has been postponed and nearly all of the impacting storms in the Atlantic this year have formed after August.

Florida has been hit nine times by tropical systems in November over the past 170 years, by nearly 5 percent in any given year.

Seven of those nine were from the Western Caribbean and the Gulf of Mexico. This makes this week’s development system, if consolidated and hit Florida, very rare.

At the moment, forecasts indicate that the frequency and intensity of rain will increase as the middle of the week approaches. It will become increasingly stormy, with dangerous marine conditions and a high risk of rip currents.

According to analysis by meteorologist John MoralesWinds and waves will combine with the full moon and rising sea levels, causing major coastal flooding. Communities like Fort Lauderdale, Miami Beach, Miami Shores, and neighborhoods near Biscayne Boulevard including Edgewater, Coconut Grove, Coral Gables and Florida Keys should prepare for flooding.

Flooding continues in Volusia County. In the Deltona area, residents also complain that they haven’t come to pick up much of the rubble.