Thursday, October 10, 2024

Study that New Zealand is the best place to escape the fall of civilization | Science and Ecology | DW

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New Zealand, Iceland, the United Kingdom, Tasmania and Ireland are among the places where the fall of world civilization can escape, according to a new study.

British researchers have studied which countries can withstand the catastrophe caused by climate change, natural disasters, epidemics worse than COVID-19, the collapse of global financial structures and international agreements, or a combination of all of these.

Researchers who studied the trends of natural disasters, limited resources and population growth found that New Zealand was more flexible than Iceland, the United Kingdom, Ireland and Australia.

Research conducted by the Institute for Global Sustainability at the University of Anglia Ruskin, and Published in Magazine Stability, Five of the 20 countries were identified as the best places to keep civilization within their borders.

Islands are more likely to survive

To assess which countries would resist such a decline, countries were rated according to their ability to grow food for their populations, protect their borders from unwanted mass migration, and maintain the power grid and some productivity.

Islands located in temperate zones and often, with low population density, came first; According to the study there is a very high probability that relatively stable conditions will continue despite the effects of climate change.

On all the islands, the authors believe that New Zealand is ready for such a decline, even if it occurs during “long descent”, for many years or decades, or very fast, in less than a year in space.

Educators say this could happen due to a possible supply chain collapse with climate change acting as a “risk magnifier”. The effects can spread rapidly due to the increasing high-connectivity and interdependence of the globalized economy.

“Significant changes are possible in the coming years and decades,” says Professor Alet Jones, director of the Anglia Ruskin Institute for Global Sustainability.That is a statement. “The impact of climate change, including increasing frequency and intensity of droughts and floods, extreme temperatures and increased population displacement, may dictate the severity of these changes.”

Energy self-sufficiency, abundant land and sparse population

New Zealand tops the list for its ability to produce geothermal and hydropower, allowing its vast agricultural lands and its sparse population to live relatively without problems.

For its part, the UK, which generally has fertile soil and diverse agricultural production, does not have much agricultural land due to its population density, which raises questions about its future self-sufficiency, the researchers added.

“We believe that any country that is best prepared to manage such a recession – no doubt it will be a profound and life-changing experience – is the focus of our study, highlighting measures to address the interrelated drivers of climate change, agricultural efficiency and domestic energy. Over-reliance on complexity is essential to improve the regression of countries that do not have the most favorable start-up conditions, ”Jones said.

Some (Consistency, Anglia Ruskin University, Defender)

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