When will the Ukraine war end?

Although promises Kremlin last tuesday to reduce”drasticallyHis military activity in Kyiv And the ChernigovIn the last few hours, anti-aircraft sirens sounded in the capital due to the new Russian bombing. from the Ukrainian government and The president himself, Volodymyr Zelensky, They have already indicated that they do not trust Russian promises and that it is all about “regrouping” the forces to continue the offensive.

The General Staff of the Army of Ukraine In his latest report, he notes that Russian forces are “attempting to maintain the captured borders” and therefore not conducting “active offensive operations”. They mention it in the city SlovyanskOn DonetskRussian forces were regrouping and replenishing their stocks. The Russian delegation claimed on Tuesday that it had found progress In the talks With Ukraine to cease fire.

United State also accused Russia to move their troops rather than move them out of Kyiv. Alberto Priego, expert in international relations, Attend this Tuesday Antenna 3 news To assess the state of war in Ukraine. in regards to promises Of the Kremlin, Priego notes that “if Russia shows something, it is not a trustworthy country for the past 30 years.” “Ukraine, in fact, betrayed him on several occasions in the 1990s when he promised that he would not invade Ukraine and that they would respect its territorial integrity. And they are right to be suspicious,” Add.

Vladimir Putin’s plans

Expert points out that it is very difficult to know What is Putin’s plan? Because “we have to see what real ability you have now”. “Personally, I think he sat at the negotiating table because he shows a clear weakness in terms of his international situation. If we look at the early days of the war, he did not propose any negotiations. Today those negotiations are taking place and there are also things that he seems to accept. And this is weakness,” he explains Prego.

Alberto Priego does not trust meRussia’s future actions: “It is possible that there will be a ceasefire, even a certain peace treaty. What we have to be wary of is what could happen in the next few years. The Ukrainian delegation is doing a very good job of asking for external security guarantees.” participation from other countries.

Putin, in a “complicated” situation

The NATO pointed out that the number Russian losses in the ukraine war 15000as in war AfghanistanAlthough they are there 10 war years. He added, “There are indications that this number may be correct. Some media outlets indicated that in Chechnya they take prisoners out of prison and take them directly to the army.” “They also massed their forces in several areas and brought in Syrian and Libyan mercenaries. They are looking for soldiers anywhere on the planet, and this makes us see that they may be in a complicated situation,” he says.

Close to a ceasefire?

They opened in the last few hours Human corridors Civil evictions in different cities and in the last hours Deputy Prime Minister of Ukraine Irina Vereshuk Confirmed that more than 1600 people ran away from Mariupol. Alberto Prigo He considers this evacuation “appears” to be an act of goodwill on the part of the Russian military. “The will is to focus on the Donbass, as it seems that there will be a difficult battle for control there. The idea in principle is to reduce the presence in certain areas.” “This does not mean that there will be attacks on Kyiv,” warns Prigo. “Kyiv has a big weak point, it is close to the border, 120 kilometers away. So the missiles will continue to fall,” Add.

hard to say When will the horror of the war in Ukraine end?The expert says, “I think so There may be a ceasefire in a week or 15 days,” he said. “The problem is Russia It can maintain instability in Ukraine by having troops in the areas it has won. Which would complicate Ukraine and lead us to a scenario similar to the scenario Georgia at the moment”, finish.