May 19, 2022

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New Zealand scientists have predicted when the corona virus could be eradicated

New Zealand scientists have predicted when the corona virus could be eradicated

The emergence of new, more infectious diseases or unequal vaccines in countries around the world is bringing the epidemic further and further to an end.

As the corona virus infection progresses, the emergence of new, more infectious diseases or randomized vaccines in countries around the world suggests the idea of ​​completely eradicating the virus that causes Govt-19 disease.

However, new research by New Zealand scientists opens the door to hope that SARS-CoV-2 could be killed. “Is Covit-19 potentially destructive? Or has it (a disease) inevitably established itself around the world?”

As they point out in their research, the authors analyze previous studies and compare the environment created by this virus with other diseases such as smallpox and polio. “Although our analysis is a preliminary attempt, with many subjective components, the elimination of Covit-19 is possible in the area, especially in terms of technical possibilities,” they say.

In this sense, the authors cite the example of some countries or regions that have stopped the virus, even without the vaccine. China, Hong Kong, Iceland or New Zealand are the places where vaccines can be temporarily eliminated before they even hit the market, border control, the use of masks, safety distance, diagnostic tests – such as PCR – and contact tracking, they add.

Similarly, in the past, researchers have demonstrated that mankind has already been able to completely eradicate at least one human disease: greatness. For 3,000 years, humans lived with this disease until the end of the extensive global campaign for vaccines in the 70s, they recalled.

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Similarly, polio is another vaccine and (near) eradication success story, the authors of this study note. Two of the three poliovirus serotypes have been extinct worldwide, and wild poliovirus cases have dropped by 99% between 1988 and 2018.

To test whether Govit-19 is an equally destructive disease, scientists have developed a three-point scoring system for 17 elimination variables such as safe and effective vaccine availability, duration of immunity, and impact of actions. And effective government administration of infection control messages.

In this setting, Bigger had the highest score (48 out of 43 points), while Covid-19 was second, with a score of 28/51, and polio was last, 26/51. This means that, according to the researchers, many of the components required for all of these variables can already be considered a viable one.

“In this preliminary analysis, Govt-19 eradication appears to be slightly more feasible than polio, but much less so than the disease of smallpox,” the research authors conclude.

Similarly, the team explains that there are technical challenges to eradicate the covid, which is not important in the eradication of polio and smallpox, the rapid evolution of variants that could cast doubt on vaccines or overcome global plans for vaccines.

Researchers point out that there are some “parallel benefits” to trying to eradicate goiter because it “helps control other diseases (and also eliminates measles)” in their article.

“Taken together, a‘ expected value ’analysis of these factors can ultimately estimate that the benefits outweigh the costs, even if the elimination takes several years and carries a significant risk of failure,” the authors conclude.

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