The success of air traffic after recording winter supplies will depend on ‘low cost | companies

Two predictions were revealed recently, predictions Scheduled flights and seats By airlines to and from Spain, they call for optimism about what, a priori, will be a harsh winter in the aviation sector.

The success of the vaccination campaign, and the consequent lifting of a large part of the restrictions imposed on this mode of transport, has led airlines to appreciate 639,000 operations between November 1 and March 31Which is an increase of 2.3% compared to the 2019-2020 winter season. The latter has already been affected in its final term by the outbreak of the epidemic.

Aena claims to have received energy reserves for a total of 108.8 million seatsWhich translates to an increase of 4.2% compared to what was expected at the beginning of the winter of 2019. The supply of seats in the domestic market increased by 9%, by more than 41 million seats, while the increase internationally is 1% compared to 2019, with 67.4 million seat.

In the usual communications between Aena and airlines to get as close as possible to the panorama of traffic, it appears that it is the low-cost carriers that have refined their estimates the most. European standard in slots (Takeoff and Landing Permits) Paper margin for airlines, this winter, To suspend up to 50% off slots Without affecting the rights over these reserves At airports with busy periods of time. A situation that has led many companies to significantly raise their productivity expectations, according to various sources consulted. Among the latter will be Asian companies, with uncertainty about their ties to Europe.

Hope for winter recovery depends on production scheduled before Ryanair, Wizz Air or Jet2Among them, a low rate of default. They will also help with the momentum you have taken Transavia, reference low cost from the group Air France – KLMor scandinavian sassWhich absorbs part of the activity abandoned by the Norwegian, until the crisis of one of the main feeders for tourists in Spanish airports.

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.’s good performance Iberia Last summer, achieving a 2.5% margin, as well as the opening of the North Atlantic Corridor, are signs of revitalization. a company IAG Aircraft bound for the US have been shipped at least 100% through the end of the year, its chief confirmed Javier Sanchez Prieto. If your partner holding Vueling May be affected by seasonality this winter, and Iberia has set itself the challenge of getting a positive margin as well in the fourth quarter. The airline trusts the gradual return of the business traveler, which is key in months when there is less demand.

In the first nine months of the year, the level of flight recovery in the Aena network was 51%, a share that drops to 36% in the case of passengers who passed through its terminal buildings. He was an aircraft loader between January and September 68%, about three points better than it was in the same period in 2020, but nearly 20 points less than in 2019. What comes, may not be as bad as feared.